Wednesday, October 10, 2012

"El Nino Watch" - October El Nino Update

The October update from CPC (Climate Prediction Center) of the National Weather Service indicates that little change in the SST (Sea Surface Temperatures) has occurred  from the September readings in the central Pacific Ocean. 

Water temperatures have continued near normal from the September readings.  Therefore, the chances of an even weak El Nino to developed have decreased.
What has add more uncertainty to this developed is that the computer models are at odds.  Some of the models indicated conditions remaining status quo and other hint at a weak El Nino might develop.  The official forecast from CPC is conditions will remain status quo.

The official forecast from the CPC calls for both temperatures and precipitation to be near normal over northern Utah and southwest Colorado.  Albeit even normal precipitation is great with average winter/spring snowfall over the area ranging from 300-500”.

Another update on El Nino will be blogged again in November.  Stay tuned.

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